analysis · GPT-4o · free
Run a pre mortem on [PROJECT/DECISION]. Assume it fails spectacularly 12 months from now. The project: [DESCRIBE] Timeline: [DURATION] Team: [WHO] Budget: [$] What "success" would look like: [DEFINE] Deliver: Imagine the failure headline (one sentence, painful) Top 10 reasons it failed, ranked by likelihood For each reason: category (execution / market / team / tech / capital), leading indicators we'd see in month 1 3 The 3 failure modes we're most blind to Pre commitments — what we agree to STOP doing if we see indicator X The kill criteria: what evidence would let us shut this down without ego damage One thing we're doing that a survivor of a similar project would immediately change Assume smart people fail this. Be direct.
#pre-mortem #risk #decision